AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction, Match Preview and Live Streaming, 3 March 2025

AC Milan takes on Lazio in a crucial Serie A match at the iconic San Siro on 3 March 2025. With Milan in 8th and Lazio sitting at 5th, both teams are striving for European competition spots. The match will be overseen by referee Gianluca Manganiello, with temperatures expected to be a chilly 4°C under clear skies.

Milan, guided by Sérgio Conceição, is currently under pressure, having only one win in their last five matches and facing elimination from the UEFA Champions League. Despite this setback, they remain unbeaten in their last eight home games.

Lazio, managed by Marco Baroni, has shown resilience with a recent form of LDDWW and an impressive scoring record in 88% of their games this season. Key tips include betting against a draw, with odds favoring Milan for the win. However, given Milan’s recent struggles and Lazio’s fighting spirit, a double chance bet on Lazio to win or draw is also recommended.

AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction

Experts are slightly favoring AC Milan to win at San Siro, perhaps due to their solid home record despite recent struggles. The bookmakers have set the odds with Milan as slight favorites.

A draw seems a less likely outcome given both teams’ aggressive approach and the pressure to secure points for European competition spots. With their fluctuating form, the odds reflect the unpredictable nature of this clash.

AC Milan Team Analysis

AC Milan Recent Performance LLDWL

AC Milan’s recent form has been quite shaky, as shown by their last five matches. Here’s a closer look:

Home Team	Away Team	Result
Bologna	AC Milan	2-1 (Loss)
Torino	AC Milan	2-1 (Loss)
AC Milan	Feyenoord	1-1 (Draw)
AC Milan	Verona	1-0 (Win)
Feyenoord	AC Milan	1-0 (Loss)

AC Milan managed to secure just one win in their last five outings, which included a 1-0 victory against Verona. They averaged only 0.80 goals scored per match and kept just one clean sheet during this period. Even with Rafael Leao’s impressive performances, the Rossoneri have struggled to find consistency.

Head Coach Sérgio Conceição will be eager to turn things around soon, especially given that Milan has conceded most goals in the time interval of 76-90 this season. Conceding an average of 1 goal per match shows the need for a tighter defense moving forward.

AC Milan Key Players

AC Milan’s key players for the upcoming clash against Lazio include their top scorer, Tijjani Reijnders, who has netted 8 goals this season. Additionally, Christian Pulisic and João Félix will be crucial for Sérgio Conceição’s squad if they are to create meaningful opportunities against a resilient Lazio defense. Rafael Leão, who recently found the back of the net in their loss against Bologna, is also expected to play a pivotal role in Milan’s attack. Potential key individual battles will include Santiago Giménez going up against Lazio’s center-backs Alessio Romagnoli and Mario Gila, and Reijnders’ midfield contest with Matteo Guendouzi. Expected lineup for AC Milan:

Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
Defenders: Álex Jiménez, Malick Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez
Midfielders: Yunus Musah, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, João Félix, Rafael Leão
Attacker: Santiago Giménez

AC Milan Suspensions & Injuries

AC Milan is currently dealing with several injury concerns, which could significantly impact their squad depth and performance against Lazio:

Player	Injury	Expected return
Alessandro Florenzi	Cruciate ligament injury	Late April 2025
Ruben Loftus-Cheek	Hamstring Injury	Mid March 2025
Emerson Royal	Thigh injury	Mid March 2025
Kyle Walker	Muscle injury	Doubtful

Alessandro Florenzi’s long-term injury is a major blow, especially in defense. Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Emerson Royal, sidelined with hamstring and thigh injuries, narrow the midfield options for Sérgio Conceição. Kyle Walker remains doubtful, adding further uncertainty in the defensive lineup.

These injuries could force AC Milan to rely heavily on younger or less experienced players, impacting their ability to maintain consistency and stability in crucial areas.

AC Milan Tactics and Formation

AC Milan Tactical Breakdown:

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Key Forward: Santiago Giménez
Midfield Trio: Yunus Musah, Tijjani Reijnders, João Félix
Defensive Line: Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlović, Alex Jiménez with Mike Maignan in goal

Sérgio Conceição’s side prefers a 4-2-3-1 setup that balances defensive solidity and attacking flair. With key players like Rafael Leão and João Félix in advanced roles, Milan relies on quick transitions and wide play to break down opposition defenses. Their defensive shortcomings are evident, especially in the dying minutes of the match, an area they need to tighten up to secure a better position in the Serie A standings.

Lazio Team Analysis

Lazio Recent Performance LDDWW

Lazio has shown solid form in their last five matches, collecting eight points from a possible 15. Their recent performances include two wins, two draws, and one loss. They have displayed a commendable average of 1.80 goals scored per game while keeping one clean sheet in this period.

Home team	Away team	Result
Inter	Lazio	2-0 (Loss)
Venezia	Lazio	0-0 (Draw)
Lazio	SSC Napoli	2-2 (Draw)
Lazio	Monza	5-1 (Win)
Cagliari	Lazio	1-2 (Win)

Lazio’s offensive prowess has been noteworthy, thanks in part to their top scorer, Valentin Castellanos, who has bagged nine goals so far this season. Despite their attacking strength, consistency remains a challenge as evidenced by their loss to Inter and a goalless draw against Venezia. Their defensive stability is also something to keep an eye on, given the single clean sheet in their recent matches.

Lazio Key Players

Expected lineup for Lazio:

Goalkeeper: Christos Mandas
Defenders: Adam Marušić, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares
Midfielders: Nicolò Rovella, Matteo Guendouzi, Gustav Isaksen, Pedro Rodriguez, Mattia Zaccagni
Forward: Boulaye Dia

Key players for Lazio include Valentin Castellanos, their leading scorer with nine goals, though he is sidelined with a thigh injury. Mattia Zaccagni and Pedro Rodriguez in the midfield will play crucial roles. The battle between Zaccagni and AC Milan’s Alex Jimenez on the wing could be a game-defining matchup. Gustav Isaksen’s creativity on the opposite flank and Boulaye Dia’s finishing upfront also make them significant threats.

Lazio Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Elseid Hysaj	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Valentín Castellanos	Thigh injury	Mid March 2025
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru	Muscle injury	Doubtful

Currently, Lazio is dealing with several injuries that could impact their performance. Top scorer Valentín Castellanos is sidelined with a thigh injury, which means their main attacking threat will be missing. Elseid Hysaj and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru are also doubtful due to muscle injuries, potentially thinning out the defensive and midfield options.

These absences could put additional pressure on the remaining squad, compelling Marco Baroni to make tactical adjustments. For instance, they may struggle to maintain their usual defensive solidity or scoring efficiency.

Lazio Tactics and Formation

Lazio’s Tactical Breakdown:

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Key Forward: Boulaye Dia
Midfield Duo: Nicolò Rovella, Matteo Guendouzi
Defensive Setup: Adam Marušić, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares
Notable Strategy: Emphasis on high-paced wing play involving Gustav Isaksen and Mattia Zaccagni to stretch the opposition.

Under Marco Baroni’s guidance, Lazio implements a balanced approach, integrating defensive solidity with dynamic offensive transitions. Boulaye Dia, stepping in for the injured Valentín Castellanos, will anchor the attack.

The central midfield pairing of Rovella and Guendouzi provides both defensive cover and creative linkages, crucial for controlling the game’s tempo. The back line, with Romagnoli’s experience, focuses on minimizing errors, essential for securing clean sheets.

Expect Lazio to exploit AC Milan’s tendency to concede late in matches, aiming to press hard during the final quarter.

AC Milan vs Lazio Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the recent encounters between AC Milan and Lazio provides useful insights into the upcoming match. Here’s a summary of their last five meetings:

Home	Away	Result
Lazio	AC Milan	2-2
Lazio	AC Milan	0-1
AC Milan	Lazio	2-0
AC Milan	Lazio	2-0
Lazio	AC Milan	4-0

Both teams have had varied results, indicating a competitive spirit between the sides. AC Milan has been slightly more successful, securing two wins to Lazio’s one, and drawing once. This historical context adds excitement to their upcoming clash.

Venue and Weather

The match will be held at the iconic San Siro, a stadium synonymous with footballing history. With a seating capacity of approximately 80,000, it promises an electric atmosphere as AC Milan hosts Lazio. Weather conditions for match day are expected to be relatively chilly, with a temperature of 4°C.

Pressure: 1033 hPa
Humidity: 69%
Wind Speed: 1.47 m/s
Description: Clear sky

Given the crisp and clear conditions, both teams might opt for a high-tempo game, taking advantage of the fast pitch. AC Milan and Lazio will need to focus on their fitness and stamina to handle the cold effectively, especially towards the latter stages of the match.