We are at the business end of the Asia Cup 2023. While India vs Pakistan Asia Cup 2023 final was on the cards, it is now doubtful. With India winning against Sri Lanka and Pakistan, Rohit Sharma & Co have all but sealed a place in the final. But Pakistan are in a virtual knockout position. Pakistan have to beat Sri Lanka.
The Men in Green’s heavy defeat against Rohit and Co have put them in a tough spot. However, there is still a chance for a blockbuster IND vs PAK Asia Cup 2023 final on September 17.
Remaining schedule of Asia Cup 2023 Super Four:
- SL vs PAK in Colombo, 14th Sep
- IND vs BAN in Colombo, 15th Sep
Asia Cup 2023 Super 4s Points Table:
| Super Fours | Mat | Won | Lost | Tied | NR | Pts | NRR |
| India | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.690 |
| Sri Lanka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.200 |
| Pakistan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.892 |
| Bangladesh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.749 |
So far, Bangladesh and Pakistan have played 2 out of their 3 matches. After two rounds of Asia Cup 2023, India are on top with 4 points and with an NRR of 2.690. Sri Lanka have lost their NRR advantage after a 41-run loss to India. But they are still 2nd with -2.000.
So let’s take a look at the qualification scenarios of India and Pakistan and find out the different permutations and combinations for a IND vs PAK final in Asia Cup 2023 tournament.
Scenario 1: India wins against Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, Pakistan wins against Sri Lanka
Explanation: With win against Sri Lanka, India have sealed their spot. Even a heavy defeat against Bangladesh won’t matter much. The reason? Sri Lanka vs Pakistan will be a virtual knockout. If India remain undefeated in Super 4, they will be on 6 points. Pakistan will get to 4 points if they defeat Sri Lanka. In this case, India and Pakistan automatically play the final of Asia Cup 2023.
| Teams | Matches Played | Won | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Pakistan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Sri Lanka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Bangladesh | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Scenario 2: India wins against Sri Lanka but lose against Bangladesh, Pakistan wins against Sri Lanka
Explanation: If India lose to Bangladesh, then they will end up with 4 points. And if Pakistan wins against Sri Lanka, the Men in Green will reach 4 points which will be enough for them to make it to finals.
Scenario 3: Pakistan loses against Sri Lanka
Explanation: If Pakistan loses against Sri Lanka, then they will end up with only 2 points. It will make India and Sri Lanka qualify for finals.
| Super Fours | Matches Played | Won | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Sri Lanka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Pakistan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Bangladesh | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Scenario 4: If rain washes out Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
Explaination: In that case, Sri Lanka will qualify for Asia Cup 2023 final due to better NRR.
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